From: Cost of illness of breast cancer in Japan: trends and future projections
Model | Item | 2011 | 2014 | 2017 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Estimated population (thousand person) | 127,799 | 126,949 | 125,739 | 124,223 | |
[% of 65 years or older] | 23.1 % | 26.1 % | 28.0 % | 29.1 % | |
Fixed model | Number of breast cancer deaths (person) | 12,791 | 13,308 | 13,641 | 13,901 |
[% of 65 years or older] | 52.1 % | 56.2 % | 58.7 % | 59.4 % | |
Average age of death (years) | 66.1 | 66.8 | 67.4 | 67.9 | |
Direct cost (billion yen) | 166.3 | 168.3 | 170.0 | 170.1 | |
Morbidity cost (billion yen) | 46.8 | 48.6 | 48.7 | 48.4 | |
Mortality cost (billion yen) | 484.0 | 487.8 | 487.2 | 484.8 | |
[% of 65 years or older] | 23.1 % | 25.6 % | 27.0 % | 26.7 % | |
Mortality cost per person (million yen) | 38.0 | 36.7 | 35.7 | 34.9 | |
COI (billion yen) | 697.0 | 704.7 | 705.9 | 703.4 | |
Linear model | Number of breast cancer deaths (person) | 12,791 | 13,968 | 15,015 | 16,039 |
[% of 65 years or older] | 52.1 % | 56.0 % | 59.4 % | 60.8 % | |
Average age of death (years) | 66.1 | 66.9 | 67.9 | 68.7 | |
Direct cost (billion yen) | 166.3 | 157.4 | 158.3 | 160.6 | |
Morbidity cost (billion yen) | 46.8 | 47.3 | 49.3 | 46.5 | |
Mortality cost (billion yen) | 484.0 | 509.5 | 523.5 | 536.4 | |
[% of 65 years or older] | 23.1 % | 25.5 % | 27.7 % | 28.2 % | |
Mortality cost per person (million yen) | 38.0 | 36.5 | 34.9 | 33.4 | |
COI (billion yen) | 697.0 | 714.1 | 731.1 | 743.6 | |
Logarithm model | Number of breast cancer deaths (person) | 12,791 | 13,153 | 13,720 | 14,222 |
[% of 65 years or older] | 52.1 % | 54.6 % | 57.4 % | 58.5 % | |
Average age of death (years) | 66.1 | 66.4 | 67.1 | 67.8 | |
Direct cost (billion yen) | 166.3 | 158.8 | 154.7 | 153.0 | |
Morbidity cost (billion yen) | 46.8 | 45.8 | 44.3 | 44.0 | |
Mortality cost (billion yen) | 484.0 | 494.6 | 499.5 | 502.4 | |
[% of 65 years or older] | 23.1 % | 24.2 % | 25.7 % | 25.7 % | |
Mortality cost per person (million yen) | 38.0 | 37.6 | 36.4 | 35.3 | |
COI (billion yen) | 697.0 | 699.2 | 698.5 | 699.4 | |
Mixed model | Number of breast cancer deaths (person) | 12,791 | 13,555 | 14,323 | 14,986 |
[% of 65 years or older] | 52.1 % | 54.2 % | 56.8 % | 57.4 % | |
Average age of death (years) | 66.1 | 66.3 | 67.0 | 67.5 | |
Direct cost (billion yen) | 166.3 | 157.1 | 159.6 | 162.2 | |
Morbidity cost (billion yen) | 46.8 | 45.5 | 46.5 | 47.3 | |
Mortality cost (billion yen) | 484.0 | 510.9 | 524.0 | 534.3 | |
[% of 65 years or older] | 23.1 % | 24.4 % | 26.1 % | 25.9 % | |
Mortality cost per person (million yen) | 38.0 | 37.7 | 36.6 | 35.7 | |
COI (billion yen) | 697.0 | 713.5 | 730.0 | 743.8 |