Table 3 Performance of CARSS models for predicting the risk of COVID-19
Model | Mean risk without adverse outcome | Mean risk with adverse outcome | Absolute risk difference | Scaled brier score | Discrimination AUC (95% CI) | Calibration Slope (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CARM_N | 0.09 | 0.15 | 0.06 | -0.02 (-0.03 to -0.01) | 0.68 (0.66 to 0.70) | 0.47 (0.41 to 0.54) |
CARM_NB | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.08 | -0.05 (-0.06 to -0.04) | 0.68 (0.65 to 0.70) | 0.37 (0.31 to 0.43) |
CARS_N | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.08 | 0.05 (0.04 to 0.06) | 0.73 (0.71 to 0.75) | 0.81 (0.72 to 0.89) |
CARS_NB | 0.09 | 0.16 | 0.07 | 0.01 (0.00 to 0.02) | 0.68 (0.66 to 0.70) | 0.56 (0.47 to 0.64) |